The Charger Blog

Uncovering the Past: A Professor's Quest to Identify Risk Factors for Looting Activity in Egypt

Dr. Michelle Fabiani leads an interdisciplinary team to study looting activity at archaeological sites in Lower Egypt, using satellite imagery and advanced algorithms to understand historical trends.

October 11, 2024

By Caitlin Truesdale, Office of Marketing and Communications

John and Leona Gehring Hall, home to the University of New Haven's Henry C. Lee Institute of Forensic Science
John and Leona Gehring Hall, home to the University of New Haven's Henry C. Lee Institute of Forensic Science.

For Michelle Fabiani, Ph.D., assistant professor of criminal justice at the University of New Haven and co-director of the , her work examining looting activity at archaeological sites has spanned more than 15 years. With the support of a Faculty Research Project grant from the CT Space Grant Consortium, she aims to better understand the environmental and human factors driving this illicit activity, providing critical insights to protect these historical sites.

ӰԭArchaeological looting is a persistent phenomenon around the world,Ӱԭ she explains. ӰԭAnd as archeologists typically only work a couple of months a year, we likely know only a fraction of what happens when they are not there.Ӱԭ

Now, Dr. Fabiani is leading an initiative to monitor 661 archaeological sites in Lower Egypt over a period of eight years. The project uses satellite imagery and data-science techniques to detect changes on the ground, offering insights into how looting attempts fluctuate over time.

ӰԭThe goal is to develop indicators to determine which types of sites are most likely to experience looting activity in response to different factors Ӱԭ social, political, environmental, and economic,Ӱԭ Dr. Fabiani says.

ӰԭWeӰԭre using algorithms to detect potential looting pits from satellite imagesӰԭ

The work builds on a previous pilot project in which Dr. Fabiani hand-coded over 1,000 images across a subset of 140 sites in Lower Egypt. This new project expands the scope and incorporates advanced algorithmic-detection methods, in collaboration with Dr. Shivanjali Khare and students from data science and criminal justice.

ӰԭWeӰԭre using algorithms to detect potential looting pits from satellite images,Ӱԭ she explains. ӰԭThis will create a robust dataset and method for identifying attempted looting activity on a much larger scale than before.Ӱԭ

Dr. Michelle Fabiani.
Dr. Michelle Fabiani.

Dr. FabianiӰԭs work is rooted in the recognition that attempted looting is connected to larger global forces, and she has . ӰԭObjects of antiquity tend to have inherent monetary and aesthetic value,Ӱԭ she explains. ӰԭTheyӰԭre excellent forms of collateral in illicit economies because theyӰԭre untraceable.Ӱԭ

The values of these artifacts on the art market rarely, if ever, experience crashes. This makes antiquities attractive to those looking for a stable, high-value commodity.

The project will help uncover patterns and identify risk factors, much like how meteorologists predict storms or earthquakes. ӰԭWe want to generate data that can be used to proactively manage heritage sites,Ӱԭ Dr. Fabiani says. ӰԭIt can give governments and local authorities a chance to more proactively allocate resources for protection.Ӱԭ

ӰԭWeӰԭre trying to scale up what has been done beforeӰԭ

Dr. FabianiӰԭs project is ambitious, spanning eight years and hundreds of sites. The research is not only expanding what we know about attempted archaeological looting but also how data science can play a role in heritage management.

This interdisciplinary approach Ӱԭcombining criminal justice, data science, and archaeologyӰԭ has opened new doors for understanding looting activity.

"By incorporating change-detection algorithms, we can automate the process of identifying potential looting activity in satellite images."Dr. Fabiani

At a scale of more than 600 sites to monitor, relying on human coders manually scanning satellite images becomes impractical. ӰԭWeӰԭre trying to scale up what has been done before,Ӱԭ she explains. ӰԭBy incorporating change-detection algorithms, we can automate the process of identifying potential looting activity in satellite images.Ӱԭ

By automating the process, much more ground can be covered in less time, increasing the efficiency and scope of the research. ӰԭWe work better when we have diverse skillsets that speak to each other,Ӱԭ she says.

ӰԭItӰԭs about being able to say, ӰԭHereӰԭs where you need to focus your effortsӰԭӰԭ

Satellite imagery is not always available, and when it is, the resolution may not be high enough to confirm that a small disturbance in the ground is indeed a looting pit.

ӰԭSometimes, weӰԭre looking at one or two pixels, and it could just as easily be a bush or a shadow,Ӱԭ Dr. Fabiani admits. ӰԭIt can be difficult to confirm what weӰԭre looking at, especially with historical imagery.Ӱԭ

ӰԭWe must come up with other ways of validating what weӰԭre doing,Ӱԭ Dr. Fabiani continues, Ӱԭwhich comes down to more data and computer-science approaches, as well as cross-validation with multiple coders.Ӱԭ

Looking ahead, Dr. Fabiani envisions a future where the data from this project can be used to inform proactive heritage-management strategies, allowing governments to allocate resources more effectively. ӰԭItӰԭs about being able to say, ӰԭHereӰԭs where you need to focus your efforts to achieve the greatest results,ӰԭӰԭ she explains.

Her work offers a glimpse into the future of heritage protection. With the right infrastructure and continued support from grants such as the one from the CT Space Grant Consortium, the project could help create a more informed and strategic approach to preserving shared history. ӰԭThis method could be replicated in many regionsӰԭ Dr. Fabiani suggests, Ӱԭand used to develop policies that continue to help protect cultural heritage on a global scale.Ӱԭ